Debt Overhang and Financial Distress: Predictive Power of Logit Model

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.53983/ijmds.v14n3.004

Keywords:

Debt Overhang, Financial Distress, Logistic Regression, Liquidity Tribulations, Negative Networth, Negative Working Capital

Abstract

Debt overhang is a vulnerable situation in which an organization owes more money than they can payback. This will hinder the growth of the company and leads to financial distress. According to RBI’s definition negative working capital, cash loss and negative networth are the factors influencing Financial Distresses.  This research paper has attempted to device models for predicting probability of financial distresses among the PSUs working under the Chemical Sector in Kerala. In order to evaluate the ratios that can influence group status and quantify their connection, Multiple Logistic Regression analysis tool is administered. The results of this study put forward some forewarning of financial distress by establishing statistical relationships between account data of financially distressed and non-distressed stages.  Financial ratios play a vital role in identifying the problems of financial distress.

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Author Biographies

Dr. Sunil Kumar K.K, Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, Maharaja’s College, Ernakulam (A Government Autonomous College), Kerala, India

Dr. Sunil Kumar K K received his Bachelor and Master degree in Commerce from University of Kerala, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala. He obtained his PhD from University of Kerala in the topic “Financial Distress-An analytical study on selected Public Sector Undertakings in Kerala”. He has 17 years teaching experience in UG and PG classes in various government colleges in Kerala as Lecturer, Head and Principal in charge and 10 years research experience. He is currently working as an Associate Professor at Maharaja’s College (An autonomous Government College), Ernakulam, Kerala. He is awarded of “Peet Silver-Lines Award” for his exemplary service to the Profession, the society and the Nation. He is a member of Academic Council and Board of studies in Maharaja’s College (Autonomous) Ernakulam.

Mrs. Savitha M.A. , Assistant Professor, Department of Commerce, Maharaja’s College, Ernakulam (A Government Autonomous College), Kerala, India

Savitha M A holds a Bachelor's, Master's, and B.Ed. degree in Commerce from Mahatma Gandhi University, Kottayam, Kerala. With 14 years of teaching experience at both undergraduate and postgraduate levels in various Government Colleges across Kerala, she currently serves as Assistant Professor at Maharaja’s College (Government Autonomous), Ernakulam. She is a member of the Academic Committee for UG Commerce at Sreenarayanaguru Open University, Kollam, and a member of the Board of Studies at Maharaja’s College, Ernakulam.

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Published

28-03-2025

How to Cite

Sunil Kumar, K., and M. . Savitha. “Debt Overhang and Financial Distress: Predictive Power of Logit Model”. International Journal of Management and Development Studies, vol. 14, no. 3, Mar. 2025, pp. 22-32, doi:10.53983/ijmds.v14n3.004.